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The Future Mobile Market: Global trends and developments with a focus on Western Europe (Table of Contents)

UMTS Forum Report 8, March 1999

Table of Contents

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Executive Summary
Scope of this Report
Terrestrial Mobile Services Market - Key Findings
Mobile Satellite Services Market - Key Findings
Study Approach
Market Definitions
Key Assumptions and Dynamics Model
Key Societal and Technology Trends Influencing the Evolution of the Mobile Multimedia Market
Societal and Market Trends
Technology Trends
Scenario Analysis
Key Drivers, Enablers, Barriers and Uncertainties
Market Forecasting Results
World Mobile Market
The European Mobile Terminal Market
The European Market for Mobile Multimedia Content
European Mobile Traffic Forecasts
Summary

Resum
Objet de ce Rapport
March des Service Mobiles Terrestres - Resultats Principaux
March des Service Mobiles par Satellite - Resultats Principaux
Methode d'Etude
Dfinitions du March
Hypothses Fondamentales et Modele Dynamique
Tendances Fondamentales de la Socit et de la Technologie influcencant L'Evolution du March Multimdia Mobile
Tendances de la Socit et du March
Tendances Technologiques
Analyse de Scnarios
Principaux Elements Moteurs et Favorables, Barrires et Incertitudes
Rsultats de Prevision de March
March Mobile Mondial
Le March Europen de Terminaux Mobiles
Le March Europen du Contenu Multimdia Mobile
Previsions de Trafic Mobile en Europe
Resum

Resumen Ejecutivo
Alcance de Este Informe
Mercado de los Servicios Mviles Terrestres - Principales Conclusiones
El Mercado de los Servicios Mviles por Satlite - Conclusiones Principales
Enfoque del Estudio
Definiciones del Mercado
Supuestos Clave y Modelo de Dinmica
Claves de las Tendencias Sociales y Tecnolgicas que influyen en la evolucin del Mercado Mvil Multimedia
Tendencias Sociales y de Mercado
Tendencias Tecnolgicas
Anlisis del Escenario
Motivadores clave, Facilitadores, Barreras e Incertidumbres
Resultados Previstos del Mercado
Mercado Mundial del Mvil
El Mercado de Terminales Mviles Europeos
El Mercado Europeo del Contenido Multimedia Mvil
Previsiones de Trfico Mvil Europeo
Resumen

Introduction
Background
Objectives and Study Approach
Objectives
Study Approach
Scope and Structure of Report

Market Definitions and Key Assumptions
Market Definitions
Networked Multimedia Market
Mobile Market
Mobile Multimedia Market
Key Assumptions
Market Dynamics

Societal and Technology Trends
Key Societal Influences on the Mobile Multimedia Market
The Market for Fixed Networked Multimedia Services Is Growing Rapidly
Computer-based Communications is Being Widely Accepted and Embraced by Society
There Will Be Growing Demand for Access to Networked Multimedia Services While Mobile
Key Technology Influences on the Mobile Multimedia Market
Mobile Multimedia Terminal Technologies
Service Delivery and Management Technologies

Scenario Analysis
Scenario Development
Defining the Scenarios
Scenario Market Forecasting
Validation of the Scenarios
Scenario Summaries
Scenario 1: Slow Evolution
Scenario 2: Business Centric
Scenario 3: Evolved Mass Market
Scenario 4: Commoditised Mass Market

Market Forecasts and Analysis
World Market Forecasts for Mobile Services
EU Market for Mobile Services
EU Market for Mobile Multimedia Services
EU Market for Mobile Terminals
EU Market for Mobile Multimedia Applications (Content Revenues)
Mobile Satellite Services Market
Traffic Forecasts
Looking to the Future
Mobile Communications in 2015
Trends Influencing Demand for Flexible Communications
Societal Impacts

Key Drivers, Enablers, Barriers & Uncertainties
Key Drivers, Enablers, Barriers & Uncertainties
Key Drivers to the Development of the Mobile Multimedia Market
Key Enablers of the Development of Mobile Multimedia Services
Potential Barriers to Market Development

Conclusions
Conclusions
Summary of Main Findings

References